Red Sea Routes Remain Risky in 2025 – Is a Return to Suez Still Distant?

The turmoil in the Red Sea that began at the end of 2023 shows no signs of ending.

Some may have thought, “Surely we can use the Suez Canal again soon?” but as of July 2025, there is still no sign of recovery.

Recently, Houthi forces resumed attacks on commercial vessels, reigniting concerns about route safety.

Houthi Attacks Resume, Direct Damage to Merchant Ships

Let’s begin with recent events in July.

In the Red Sea off the coast of Yemen, Houthi forces attacked a merchant ship, killing three crew members.

It was a shocking incident, especially since things had been relatively quiet.

Kennedy, a Middle East expert at S&P Global, stated:
“The Houthis have maintained their capabilities. This was not de-escalation, but dormancy.”

In other words, they weren’t inactive — they were preparing.

“Suez Reopening in 2025” Is Pure Fantasy?

After this attack, shipping companies have made their stance clear.

No return to Suez. Not this year.

Maersk, in particular, said back in May that “there will be no return to the Suez route in 2025.”

Alliances and networks continue to operate by avoiding the Red Sea.

Lars Jensen from the Journal of Commerce also commented:
“Even in the mid-term, don’t expect the Suez route to resume.”

Oversupply Has Been Averted

According to Drewry, container shipping industry profits are projected to fall from $50 billion in 2024 to $20 billion in 2025.

Still, the industry is staying afloat, likely because the Red Sea detour is soaking up excess capacity.

Trump: “Houthis Have Surrendered” – True?

President Trump told the media:
“The Houthis have surrendered. The Red Sea issue is over.”

But the latest attack proves the Houthis are still capable and willing to fight.

Conclusion

As of July 2025, the Red Sea situation remains unstable, and the Suez Canal remains unusable for most shipping lines.

For now, networks that bypass Suez are becoming the norm, and Red Sea avoidance will likely continue.

Shipping and logistics professionals should rethink route planning and cost management with a long-term view.